US tariffs impact on UK businesses: A comprehensive overview

After the initial agreements on trade between the US and the UK, the EU and Japan, the White House began to pursue a more product-oriented strategy, which could be more sustainable from a legal perspective. At the same time, tensions with China have been escalating, with China further cutting the supply of rare earths, following a significant reduction of orders of soybeans, with the US threatening a material escalation of tariffs. We have often noted that the “deals” initially signed are a milestone, but in no way would they represent the endgame or a new status quo. We would anticipate further volatility across the board.

"The real question going forward is: almost a year into the trade war, have companies become more resilient, or have they worn out their defences? How prepared are they for a more permanent change to the status quo?  

We think that in light of the US tariffs impact on UK businesses, companies must prioritise resilience amidst the ongoing uncertainty. Long-term strategies and diversification will be key to successfully navigating the obstacles presented by these tariffs and adapting to market shifts whilst also being alive to opportunities that are likely to arise."

George Lagarias, Chief Economist

What is the UK government's position regarding US tariffs impact on UK businesses?

Recently, the UK and US governments finalised their first business and trade agreement since the April tariff announcements, aiming to alleviate some of the burdens on UK businesses.

While the 10% tariffs on various goods are still in effect, this deal provides some relief for the steel and aluminium industries and reduces tariffs on the first 100,000 vehicles exported to the US. However, unresolved issues, particularly in the pharmaceutical sector, underscore the ongoing complexities of US tariffs impact on UK businesses..

Implications of US tariffs impact on UK businesses

We have pinpointed critical areas where we can assist UK businesses in managing the US tariffs impact and enhancing their resilience.

  • Increased costs and pressure on profit margins – Tariffs on imports raise costs for UK products in the US market, diminishing competitiveness against domestic alternatives and potentially decreasing demand.
  • Disruptions in supply chains – Tariffs complicate global supply chains that include the US, necessitating quick adjustments such as reevaluating suppliers and relocating production to lessen the tariffs' impact.
  • Economic uncertainty complicates long-term planning, forcing UK businesses to prioritise short-term responses.
  • Regulatory challenges – New tariffs bring additional regulatory risks and compliance responsibilities.
  • Cross-border tax implications – Tariffs may lead to significant tax consequences that influence overall trade strategies, including transfer pricing and VAT complexities.

How can Forvis Mazars help mitigate the impact of US tariffs?

We’ve identified a number of areas where we can help you navigate the impact of tariffs and build resilience.

DiversificationWe can help you identify and explore alternative markets, assessing opportunities and potential impacts on your business in light of US tariffs impact on UK businesses.
Investment portfolio analysisWe provide insights into how geopolitical developments, including US tariffs impact, affect your investment portfolio and evaluate associated risks.
Supply chain analysisWe assess supply chain risks and identify strategies for building resilience against the impact of tariffs.
Supply chain management and third-party risk assessmentWe optimise sourcing and procurement processes to mitigate the impact of tariffs and minimisze risks from third parties.
Tariff strategy and planningWe develop strategies to address tariffs, focusing on cost-reduction and long-term resilience against the US tariffs impact on UK businesses.
Tax assessmentWe can review your international tax exposure and transfer pricing strategies to ensure compliance amidst changing tariffs.
Tariff impact and geopolitical risk assessmentsWe analysze the broader implications of tariffs and global events on your business operations and risk exposure.
Comprehensive tariff impact assessmentWe conduct thorough assessments to evaluate how tariffs affect your business and develop actionable adaptation strategies.
Tariff complianceWe assist you in ensuring compliance with evolving US trade policies and their impact on UK businesses.
Tariff technology and data modelingWe help implement IT solutions to manage tariffs and create customized customised models to forecast various impacts on your business.

Contact our experts regarding US tariffs impact

Our expert teams are prepared to support you through the complexities of US tariffs impact on UK businesses, empowering you to make informed decisions that strengthen your operations and resilience.

Reach out to us today

A new era of global trade complexity 

Sector-specific effects of US tariffs impact on UK businesses

Automotive sector

Although the recent trade and business agreement between the US and UK government has reduced the initial tariff on cars from 25% down to 10%, this is only valid on the first 100,000 vehicles, with the original 25% tariff applied thereafter. As the current number of exports from the UK to the US set around the 100,000 mark, the likely result of the agreement is a slowed down growth of UK car exports to the US. Overall, the effect will vary on Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) depending on their manufacturing setups and supply chain configurations.

Key considerations include:

  • Luxury brands may be able to pass costs to consumers more effectively, while capital expenditure will likely rise as companies adapt to US market demands.
  • Firms with substantial US investments will have a competitive edge, as most cars produced in the US are not exported.
  • Exporting vehicles to Europe will require significant modifications to comply with safety regulations.
  • Some companies may look to diversify operations into the UK and Europe to mitigate risks associated with tariffs.
  • Overall, rising costs may lead to increased prices in the US market.
  • European manufacturers could face tougher competition and reduced margins in light of US tariffs impact.

Recommendations for OEMs:

  • Technology: Invest in technological efficiencies to maintain margins amid rising costs stemming from US tariffs impact.
  • Supply Chains: Develop diverse supply chain alternatives to avoid over-reliance on a single source.
  • Operations: Manage inventory levels to mitigate impacts from the global trade landscape.
  • Financial Structure: Engage with lenders to maintain liquidity amid potential refinancing challenges.
  • Strategic Growth: Assess the relevance of overseas strategies in a tariff-driven market.

Consumer sector

Resilience is essential for consumer companies navigating the US tariffs impact.

UK retail sales have faced challenges due to rising tariffs, which threaten growth and consumer sentiment. The OBR projects only 1% growth for Britain by 2025, and the potential for recession looms as trade wars complicate the economic landscape.

In this volatile environment, companies must prioritise resilience across:

  • Supply Chains: Establish diverse alternatives to navigate disruptions caused by tariffs.
  • Operations: Manage inventory effectively to align with liquidity needs.
  • Financial Structure: Maintain engagement with lenders to ensure ongoing liquidity amid market shifts.
  • Employees: Build workforce resilience to adapt to economic fluctuations.
  • Strategic Growth: Rethink overseas strategies in light of protectionist trends and US tariffs impact.

Energy and infrastructure sector

The US tariffs impact has created market volatility, affecting the energy and infrastructure sector through:

  • Infrastructure Costs: Tariffs may lead to increased construction costs and project delays.
  • Recession Risks: Demand-sensitive assets could suffer, while inflation-linked revenues may rise.
  • Energy Transition Projects: Uncertainty affects project viability, depending on market fluctuations.
  • Trade Routes: Governments may increase infrastructure spending in response to the impact of tariffs.
  • Valuation Impacts: Lower borrowing costs may benefit defensive segments of the sector.
  • Financial Reporting: Companies must adapt to near-term tariff impacts in their financial disclosures.

While challenges persist, government interventions may offer some hope for the sector's resilience against US tariffs impact.

Financial services sector

The financial sector remains stable despite current uncertainties related to US tariffs impact.

While not directly affected by tariffs, the financial sector faces challenges from market volatility and changing rates. As economic conditions shift, profitability may be threatened, but opportunities for asset managers and traders exist amid market fluctuations.

Key considerations for financial services include:

Government Regulation: The UK's adaptability in regulations may attract businesses seeking stability amidst US tariffs impact.

Corporate Agility: Financial institutions must prepare for shifts in trading patterns and enhance risk management strategies.

Additionally, talent retention and strategic growth considerations remain critical in adapting to a post-tariff world.

Pharma and life sciences sector

With over 40% of UK pharma business tied to the US market, the potential for tariffs presents challenges. The nature of tariffs and their application remains unclear, complicating strategic decision-making.

Companies must assess their supply chains, ensure internal stakeholder support, and continue to invest in technology to enhance efficiencies.

Exploring new market opportunities may provide advantages during this turbulent period marked by US tariffs impact.

Public and social sector

The indirect effects of US tariffs impact on the public and social sector are significant.

Economic downturns may reduce disposable income, affecting public services and charity funding. The value of public sector investments could decline, complicating funding strategies.

Uncertainty surrounding project funding and supply chain costs will necessitate a reassessment of priorities and strategies within the sector.

Public and social sector organisations must adopt a commercial mindset to navigate this new landscape effectively in light of US tariffs impact.

FAQs for UK businesses following the US tariffs 

What is a tariff?

Tariffs are a type of tax that governments impose on goods imported from another country.

What tariffs were announced by the US president on ‘Liberation day’?

Tariffs are taxes imposed by governments on imported goods from other countries, significantly impacting trade dynamics.

What tariffs did the US announce on 'Liberation Day'?

On April 2, President Trump announced tariffs affecting countries worldwide, including:

  • Baseline Tariff: A 10% tariff on all imported goods to the US, effective from April 5.
  • Reciprocal Tariffs: Additional tariffs on imports from various nations, effective from April 9. Detailed lists can be found here.
  • Specific Tariffs: Tariffs targeting industries like vehicles, auto parts, and steel.

What US tariffs affect UK goods?

UK goods exported to the US are subject to a 10% baseline tariff effective from April 5. The recent trade agreement has resulted in:

  • A reduced 10% tariff on the first 100,000 vehicles, with a 25% tariff applied thereafter.
  • The removal of tariffs on UK steel and aluminium exports.